Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 5.900978 6.734921 7.655993 8.750653 10.018622 11.444037 13.171943
2025-04-06 4.733642 5.801470 7.075684 8.715191 10.778785 13.303044 16.644642
2025-04-13 3.994389 5.155158 6.620706 8.620369 11.298597 14.790926 19.737260
2025-04-20 3.604921 4.855029 6.508894 8.878992 12.224199 16.830369 23.745393
2025-04-27 3.284881 4.587886 6.382189 9.064905 13.028223 18.752791 27.802157
2025-05-04 3.071150 4.431999 6.374939 9.394021 14.044613 21.064701 32.708034
2025-05-11 2.743506 4.070392 6.023929 9.161170 14.170687 22.026950 35.615112
2025-05-18 2.494958 3.797499 5.770486 9.037642 14.433147 23.204531 38.990866
2025-05-25 2.287497 3.565030 5.551816 8.937224 14.707084 24.410262 42.544873
2025-06-01 2.095841 3.338099 5.317516 8.780833 14.859188 25.410244 45.842225
2025-06-08 1.920854 3.121586 5.078451 8.587852 14.918653 26.240593 48.915070
2025-06-15 1.868487 3.102642 5.163239 8.958332 16.011324 29.041086 56.114802
2025-06-22 1.772098 3.002413 5.103658 9.071672 16.656294 31.106858 62.208117
2025-06-29 1.658930 2.863270 4.963610 9.022991 16.988040 32.607397 67.356000
2025-07-06 1.549498 2.721346 4.805614 8.923160 17.205382 33.899037 72.234600
2025-07-13 1.501714 2.686685 4.838927 9.191579 18.183267 36.852141 81.225156
2025-07-20 1.447304 2.634909 4.835068 9.384644 19.024851 39.615984 90.206664
2025-07-27 1.414945 2.621711 4.902541 9.726486 20.215875 43.280505 101.913980
2025-08-03 1.316810 2.474328 4.697307 9.484625 20.113198 44.038113 106.566186
2025-08-10 1.239519 2.362002 4.552488 9.356327 20.247774 45.353264 112.841738
2025-08-17 1.170947 2.261971 4.424526 9.252034 20.424609 46.786504 119.653929
2025-08-24 1.101873 2.156006 4.276342 9.089619 20.448490 47.851691 125.640072
2025-08-31 1.034438 2.048749 4.117553 8.889218 20.360911 48.629979 130.953144